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Suburban News February 2024


"The Federal Reserve can start to cut rates come this summer, and we will see unemployment touch up a little bit. But the overall economy looks pretty damn good right now," - Ken Griffin, Citadel


Suburban News January 2024


"The Fed is going to hit its target, and investors know that that means, rate cuts. We'll soon not be talking about a soft landing-we'll be talking about a re-acceleration." - Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM US


Suburban News 2023 Year End Review


"When they say, 'It's location, location, location' in real estate. I say, 'No, it's timing, timing, timing'" - Jorge Perez, RELATED GROUP


Suburban News December 2023


"Rate hikes are like tequila shots: one never knows when one's had enough until one's had too much" -Louis Vincent Gave, Gavekal Research


Suburban News November 2023


"The 5 D's continue to keep the market moving, Diapers, Diplomas, Diamonds, Divorce and Death" -Robert Refkin, COMPASS


Suburban News October 2023


"The US housing sector is on the upswing again, even with mortgage rates at multi-decade highs. Although much has been attributed to shortages of existing properties and mortgage lock-in effects, we think strong demand is a symptom of the aging population."


Suburban News September 2023


I think people forget that the vast majority of sellers are also trying to buy at the same time. When conditions are tough for buyers, it can hold back selling inventory as well.


Suburban News June 2023


This time of year, buyers start to get nervous, will anything else come on. We often experience buyers feeling like they simply cannot find their dream home. They often feel they are left picking from what they describe as a selection of homes that compromise on much of their wish list.


Suburban News May 2023


This month we will take you through the minds of both buyers and sellers. For buyers, the big story is how to make your offer competitive. Do you waive your mortgage, appraisal, and inspection contingency? How high is high enough? Do we look at raw data, go with gut instinct or just go as high as we can afford? For sellers, do we just list our house to capitalize on the market and make our money get out and then rent till we figure it out? Whet is our pricing strategy? Price low, force o bidding war to create o multiple offer situation to get buyers to bid up?


Suburban News April 2023


"In terms of real estate, everyone needs a house to live in and rent certainly is not getting any cheaper. If there is a payment you can afford, buy the home. There will be an opportunity to refinance sometime in the future as interest rates are like a never-ending rollercoaster: They go up and they come back down." - Carly Wimer. VP of mortgage lending at Guaranteed Rate


Suburban News March 2023


Today we have a housing imbalance, We have more people than houses. The millennial generation is the biggest generation since the baby boomers; and they are reaching household formation years. There is 12.6% household formation growth with only 8% housing growth. Essentially, we can't keep up. People over 60 used to sell their house and recycle it back to the younger generation, but that has slowed.


Suburban News February 2023


The local Westchester Housing market is already very active in 2023. There is very little inventory and when those homes come on, if priced right {meaning not pricing from Spring of 2022, but a nice blend of the last few years) they ore receiving multiple offers, going to contract within a few days and getting over asking.


Suburban News Year End Review 2022 & January 2023


The end of a year and the dawn of a new one. In this roller coaster world where the highs and lows seem to become more extreme each day, and the only certainty we speak to is the certainty of change. Markets rise and fall. They always have and always will. They also almost always recover. And mostly they surpass their prior high's. The only unknown about recovery is the timing.


Suburban News December 2022


Will the Fed’s rate hikes be the Grinch this year? Will 2023 be the termed the The Great Affordability Crisis? The speed of change matters and right now we are experiencing one of those moments with historically rapid and large interest rate hikes, historically rapid declines in sales volume, historically rapid declines in savings and rise in debt, and notable shifts in spending and investing patterns. We are in the midst of what we call a MACK TRUCK MOMENT.


Suburban News November 2022


I recently spent a few days in Atlanta with thousands of COMPASS agents all around the country, learning about their markets. In almost all the markets, the agents agreed that we are in the midst of a massive market rebalancing. This re-balancing market has left some sellers in areas angry that they missed the peak of the selling frenzy when mortgage interest rates were half of where they are right now. Some sellers have not acknowledged the change in market and are pricing their homes to comps of early 2022. Those homes are just acquiring days on market; simply put, if the price isn’t compelling, it isn’t selling.


Suburban News October 2022


Everything has a season followed by another season that has its own, unique characteristics while retaining pretty much 90% of the prior seasons. While this market re-balances and changes, a huge chunk of it remains the same or very similar. The pent-up demand surge of the past two years is subsiding to allow markets to breathe. Growth and pull back are the natural forces of all markets. We are at the tail end of an extreme market, rapidly adjusting to new realities.


Suburban News September 2022


Housing is an important indicator of economic activity for several reasons: it bears a direct relationship to the consumer’s ability and willingness to borrow and spend. A slowdown in housing at this point doesn’t necessarily mean a big wave of mortgage delinquencies or foreclosures are coming, but it does indicate consumers are likely exiting the market. That could be due to decreased affordability (increasing mortgage rates amid rising home prices), or because consumers are worried about their economic prospects in the near-to-medium term or both.


Suburban News August 2022


While we experience some of the negatives of the current higher interest rates environment, maybe we are also witnessing one of the more important recoveries in the housing markets: the recovery of some inventory levels. The extreme imbalances in many areas around the country and the world between supply and demand have been one of the key drivers of inflation. In many parts, we have seen unrealistic, irrationally exuberant double-digit price escalations in a very short period of time. This is unsustainable.


Suburban News July 2022


There has been a meaningful slowdown in buyer demand. We are experiencing a reset for a more balanced market. In a balanced market; buyers tend to place reasonable offers on homes and sellers tend to accept them. Homes remain on the market for a moderate amount of time (typically 4-6 months) neither lagging for months nor getting snapped up in mere hours or days.


Suburban News June 2022


The market has shifted from irrational to more rational. The slowdown means the Fed's rate hikes are working, cooling demand in an overheated market. JP Morgan reported inflation is now peaking and expects it to decelerate through the rest of 2022. The risk is that Fed policy is too aggressive in aiding that along, resulting in economic growth slowing too abruptly and tipping the economy into a recession (when there is less demand and then the prices for everything will come down). If we follow historic trends, real estate continues to be a good hedge against inflation as property values over time stay on a steady upward curve.


Suburban News May 2022


This is the strongest real estate market we have ever seen. Homes are going on and off the market in a few days with multiple offers. Homes are getting 50 showings and 25 offers within 24-72 hours of going on the market. Listing agents are pricing homes lower with the expectation of a bidding war. Bidding wars are escalating prices to all time highs.


Suburban Real Estate News April 2022


Will it ever get warm. For some reason this year, it feels it is taking forever to finally feel like Spring. In the housing market, what typically is the busiest buying season “spring market” started in January and is not showing signs yet of cooling off.


Suburban Real Estate News March 2022


When I think of this past month 2 things jump out at me. The pace of the market and interest rates are finally on the rise. The speed at which deals are closing is at rate I have never seen. Most homes are going live to contract status within a week. This is giving agents very little time to do their due diligence to be able to check municipals. The landscape is so competitive that buyers are doing anything to win the bid; waiving inspections, paying cash, removing financing contingencies, closing late, closing early and giving shutdown offer prices hundreds over ask. The rates are climbing quicker than expected and buyers are now able to afford less. This will have a trickle-down effect on pricing, but for this month we have not felt that slow down just yet.


Suburban Real Estate News February 2022


The housing market is on fire. In fact, it hasn't been this strong since the pre-Global Financial Crisis period. Inventory levels are at all-time lows and buyer demand is accelerating. Rising interest rates are creating buyer panic and fueling bidding wars. We have seen bidding wars on excess of 20% over ask with no financing contingencies to win bids. Buyers are not waiting for the weekend to see homes anymore, they visit on the listing date. They make sizable offers immediately in an effort to prevent a bidding war. Buyers are getting creative with their bids.


Welcome to the JANUARY edition of Suburban Real Estate News


2021 the year that inflation reared its ugly head. Nearly everything in 2021 cost more than 2020, not just real estate. While supply-chain disruptions, labor shortages and fiscal stimulus have all been blamed for the rise in short-term inflation, another long-term force is de-globalization. As for real estate, housing bulls on Wall Street argue that this is an upturn that could last for a decade.

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